North America is where price carried the quarter for four consumer-goods makers

Hershey, Colgate-Palmolive, Mondelez and Coca-Cola each reported flat or lower volume in North America in the third quarter, while volume grew in most other regions, their releases show.

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Illustration. Not a photo of a real warehouse.Illustration: FinanceInTime

In North America, Hershey, Colgate-Palmolive, Mondelez and Coca-Cola all grew sales through price in the third quarter, while the volume they sold fell or did not grow, according to their results releases for Hershey, Colgate-Palmolive, Mondelez and Coca-Cola. Outside North America the same companies reported volume growth in most regions.

What happened

The Hershey Company (NYSE: HSY) reported on October 29 for the quarter ended September 27. In North America Confectionery, its largest segment, organic constant-currency net sales rose 1.6%, driven by approximately 13 points of net price realization, while volume declined approximately 11 points, the company said. Hershey attributed the volume decline to "price elasticity and normal quarter-to-quarter shipment variability," which "more than offset strong seasonal shipments." FinanceInTime reported the results on October 30.

Colgate-Palmolive (NYSE: CL) reported on October 30. Its North America division, 17% of company sales, had organic sales down 1.6%, with volume down 3.7% and pricing up 2.2%.

Mondelez International (Nasdaq: MDLZ) reported on October 29. In North America, organic net revenue rose 1.6% with volume/mix flat and pricing adding 1.6 percentage points. Volume/mix is the company's measure of volume combined with the mix of products sold.

The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO) reported on October 27 for the quarter ended October 2. In North America, unit case volume was even, price/mix grew 1% and organic revenues grew 3%. Coca-Cola said price/mix was "primarily driven by pricing actions in the marketplace, partially offset by unfavorable mix."

The numbers behind it

The table shows each company's third-quarter North America figures as reported. Definitions differ: Hershey and Mondelez report volume together with mix, Coca-Cola reports unit case volume and price/mix separately, and Hershey's segment is confectionery only.

Company, North America segment Price or pricing Volume or volume/mix Organic sales growth
Hershey, North America Confectionery about +13 points about -11 points +1.6%
Colgate-Palmolive, North America +2.2% -3.7% -1.6%
Mondelez, North America +1.6 percentage points flat +1.6%
Coca-Cola, North America price/mix +1% unit case volume even +3%

Source: company results releases, October 27 to 30, 2026.

Outside North America, the picture is different. Colgate reported volume up 3.9% in Latin America, 3.5% in Europe, Middle East and Africa and 1.9% in Asia Pacific. Mondelez reported volume/mix up 5.5 percentage points in Asia, Middle East and Africa and 1.6 percentage points in Europe. Coca-Cola reported unit case volume up 6% in Latin America, 5% in Europe, Middle East and Africa and 6% in Asia Pacific. Hershey's International segment was the exception: volume declined approximately 14%, which the company attributed to quarterly shipment timing, planned portfolio rationalization in select markets and other factors.

Pricing in Europe moved the other way at two companies. Mondelez reported pricing down 3.7 percentage points in Europe and Colgate reported pricing down 0.9% in Europe, Middle East and Africa.

Why it matters

The releases give the split between price and volume but do not explain consumer behavior. Only Hershey names a cause for its North America decline, price elasticity, which is the response of the quantity bought to a change in price. Coca-Cola lists which drinks grew and which fell in North America, but Colgate, Mondelez and Coca-Cola do not state why their North America volume was lower or flat, so the data does not show whether shoppers bought less, switched brands or bought elsewhere.

What the releases do show is that price kept sales growing where volume did not. At Hershey, the price effect was larger than the volume effect in North America Confectionery by about 2 points (computed from 13 and 11), which is the rounded gap behind the 1.6% organic gain. At Colgate, the price effect was smaller than the volume effect in North America, and organic sales fell.

Hershey also reported that its U.S. candy, mint and gum retail takeaway, a measure of sales at retail checkouts in tracked channels, rose 0.8% in the 12 weeks to September 27 and that its share declined. The company linked that takeaway figure to the comparison against a significant Reese innovation launch in the prior year.

Margins and outlook

Profit moved with price. Hershey said its North America Confectionery segment margin was 35.8%, up 1,400 basis points, and listed net price realization first among the drivers, alongside productivity savings, tariff refunds and lower net commodity costs. It raised its adjusted earnings per share growth outlook to 36% to 38.5% from 32.5% to 35%, noting that the figure includes approximately $0.22 from tariff refunds received in the third quarter. It lowered its organic net sales growth outlook to approximately 3% from 3% to 3.5%.

Colgate said its Base Business gross profit margin increased 90 basis points to 60.3%. It now expects gross profit margin to be up for the year, against roughly flat previously, and Base Business earnings per share growth of 5% to 7%. Coca-Cola's operating income in North America grew 5%, which it attributed primarily to organic revenue growth and the timing of marketing investments, partly offset by higher input costs and operating expenses.

What to watch

Each company's next quarterly report will show whether the North America split between price and volume persists. Colgate said it expects organic sales growth for 2026 to be broadly in line with its nine-month performance, and Hershey's outlook excludes potential future tariff refunds.

If North America volume stays flat or falls while price keeps rising, organic growth would depend on price alone. If volume recovers while price contributions shrink, margins would depend more on costs and productivity than on pricing. Neither outcome is forecast in the releases.

Our view

Our view is that the third quarter shows where pricing power is being tested. In North America, none of the four companies reported volume growth, and the one that reported the largest price increase, Hershey, also reported the largest volume decline and a lower share of candy sales. Outside North America, the same companies reported volume growth, which suggests that the limit lies in one region's demand, not in the companies' brands. That reading is ours, and the releases do not say it.

The threat is demand slowing under high prices: price carried North America organic growth at Hershey, Mondelez and Coca-Cola, and a company that depends on price alone has less room if volume keeps falling. The opportunity is that profit held up where price carried growth: Hershey's North America Confectionery margin rose 1,400 basis points, Colgate's Base Business gross margin rose 90 basis points and Coca-Cola's North America operating income grew 5%, according to their releases. Mondelez's chief executive said the company is "resolute in delivering volume-led, compounding earnings growth."

We expect North America volume at these companies to stay flat to lower in the next quarter if prices hold near current levels, and we expect price contributions to narrow as the 2026 increases are compared against a year earlier. These are forecasts. They would be wrong if volume recovers because of promotions or new products, or if input costs force further price rises. We would watch volume together with price in every release, and we would treat a company's organic growth number as incomplete without both.

This article is FinanceInTime's editorial view for information only. It is not investment, tax, legal or other advice, and it does not take your circumstances into account. Forecasts are uncertain and past results do not guarantee future ones.

Sources

  1. The Hershey Company Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results — The Hershey CompanyPrimary source
  2. Colgate-Palmolive Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results — Colgate-PalmolivePrimary source
  3. Mondelez International Reports Q3 2026 Results — Mondelez InternationalPrimary source
  4. The Coca-Cola Company Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results — The Coca-Cola CompanyPrimary source
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